SuperData predicts up to 5M Destiny 2 digital sales in its first quarter

How big is Destiny 2 going to be? Really big, SuperData predicts.

The gaming analysis firm claims that “by analyzing historical data [of Destiny 1] and [SuperData’s own] proprietary analytics-based metric system,” it’s concluded Bungie will likely sell between 4 and 5 million digital copies within its first three months of sales. That’s console and PC included.

(We’re sure the company simply misspoke when originally writing that it “evaluated the performance of Destiny 1 on both console and PC,” and again when it amended the piece this morning to “evaluated the performance of Destiny 1 on PC” alone. Destiny 1, of course, was console-only.)

“The forecast also takes into account the expected early September launch date of the title, the impact of a Battlenet release on PC and macro-level digital download trends,” says SuperData.

Source: SuperData
SHARE THIS ARTICLE
Code of Conduct | Edit Your Profile | Commenting FAQ | Badge Reclamation | Badge Key

LEAVE A COMMENT

19 Comments on "SuperData predicts up to 5M Destiny 2 digital sales in its first quarter"

Subscribe to:
Sort by:   newest | oldest | most liked
Reader
Reselect Name

This will only encourage companies to continue making boring games.

I want persistent massive multiplayer open world gameplay.

Destiny seems to be basically a lobby shooter.

Estranged
Reader
Estranged

It isn’t a lobby shooter, well, no more than people waiting for a queue pop in a standard MMO for a dungeon. Actually, Destiny dungeons pop quickly.

You zone into a planet and have plenty of room to explore. There are hidden treasures, open world quests, open world raid bosses and dailies. You have gear progression. It is a MMO without the label.

Reader
Alex Malone

It’s not even close to being an MMO, probably the reason why the devs have specifically avoided calling it one and when asked, always say that it isn’t one.

It may well have many of the same features typically found in MMORPGs, but without the ability to support 100s+ players in the same virtual world it is not an MMO.

Back on topic….a sequel to a popular game is predicted to be popular……who knew?!?!?

Estranged
Reader
Estranged

Alex, there are basically no more MMOs, if this is the case. Stick a fork in her, she is done.

Estranged
Reader
Estranged

Of course it is going to sell.

https://gamerant.com/destiny-sales-numbers-210/

“Destiny accrued over $500 million in pre-order and day one sales. Furthermore, the game sold 6.3 million units in its first month on sale, which amounted to additional $47.5 million in revenue.”

Karma_Mule
Reader
Loyal Patron
Patreon Donor
Kickstarter Donor
Karma_Mule

Given that the console launch date is about a month-and-a-half before the PC launch, I wonder if “first 3 months of sales” mean the 1st 3 months for each one from their start date, or what both will sell within the 1st 3 months from the console september launch?

I’m surprised to see they think the PC version is likely to outsell the console versions by 1 million units.

Reader
Sally Bowls

Start date??? Oh you sweet summer child (four days!!!!) :-) I would guess that Destiny will be one of best selling games of the year prior to something as old-fashioned as a launch date. At least it is four years later in the cycle than the typical EA/KS/CF game.

Reader
McGuffn

(We’re sure the company simply misspoke when originally writing that it “evaluated the performance of Destiny 1 on both console and PC,” and again when it amended the piece this morning to “evaluated the performance of Destiny 1 on PC” alone. Destiny 1, of course, was console-only.)

With attention to detail like that we can surely be confident in their analysis.

Zander
Reader
Zander

With what Warframe just demo’d, I’m willing to wait on Destiny 2. What’s the player count for Destiny 2? Is it truly an open world MMO?

Reader
Danny Smith

You will load into a small map for each planet and every few minutes see one of a dozen people in your instance of that zone. Each zone is a planet, 4 or 5 ‘planets’ to play across.

A lot of PC only players seem to think this is an open world borderlands, its a hybrid of halo reach and diablo without repeating maps. Just like 5 maps.

Reader
Dug From The Earth

FYI, Borderlands wasnt open world, its more of what you described Destiny 2 to be.
:P

And “small map” is subjective. I think small map when i think of a game like the Doom remake. Destiny’s zones (at least in the first game) felt playbably larger than that to me.

Reader
Dug From The Earth

Im super hyped about the new Warframe expansion. But reality says that Destiny 2 has a HUGE head start at getting things done right. This is warframes first venture into the open world element of an mmorpg, and it will be very easy for them to miss a lot of key elements that will affect replayability and immersion.

Destiny on the other hand, has a huge list of things they did right and things they did wrong, and are building Destiny 2 off of that. Sure, they could still royally screw things up, but I think they are in a better spot for putting out a game that meets more of the qualifications for a lasting, enjoyable experience.

I do hope Warframe manages to nail it though, because I do enjoy the devs mindset for the game, and the game itself. Its just super repetitive and grindy, even for an mmo.

Reader
Koshelkin

Sadly, that won’t be far off the mark. Nothing against Bungie or Destiny but I hate the sheepish attitude of mainstream media consumers.

Reader
Kickstarter Donor
Greaterdivinity

Sheep?

Why, because they want to buy the sequel to a popular game, especially folks who missed out on the first installment because it wasn’t on their platform of choice?

Reader
Dug From The Earth

I think the definition of “sheep” being used here is simply “People who do a similar thing and can be lumped into a large group based on sheer number”

In that case, I hate the sheepish attitude of mainstream food consumers who choose to buy food and eat it.

Estranged
Reader
Estranged

everyone is so edgy today, fightin the man on their iPhones!

Reader
Kickstarter Donor
zeko_rena

Do you even lift bro?!

Estranged
Reader
Estranged

I lift my coffee cup, sitting in this beautiful coffee cup robe and salute Robert Paulson.

Reader
Kickstarter Donor
zeko_rena

Okay I admit, I lol’d :)

wpDiscuz