The Daily Grind: Which MMORPGs will make to to 20 years?

Unless it mysteriously shutters between now and Monday, Ultima Online is turning 20 next week. Our Game Archaeologist will surely object to an assertion that UO is the first MMORPG to turn 20, but even if you do count pre-MMORPG titles as MMOs or include non-continuous or non-graphical games, UO is still among the very few MMOs to get there alive.

I’ve started thinking about numbers like that in light of Black Desert studio Pearl Abyss’ assertion a few weeks back that online PC games and MMOs have “an extremely long life cycle” on average between 10 and 11 years, implying that PA intends to support its games with those lifespans in mind.

There are a few MMOs coming up on 20 years now other than UO, including classic EverQuest. Alas, others, like Asheron’s Call, were sunsetted before they got close. Consider the MMOs you’re playing now: Which of those MMORPGs have a hope of making it to 20 years?

Every morning, the Massively Overpowered writers team up with mascot Mo to ask MMORPG players pointed questions about the massively multiplayer online roleplaying genre. Grab a mug of your preferred beverage and take a stab at answering the question posed in today’s Daily Grind!
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58 Comments on "The Daily Grind: Which MMORPGs will make to to 20 years?"

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David Vraniak

http://mistwalkers.wikia.com/wiki/MistWalkers_Wiki

The Realm Online has survived for 20 years already, and is now hosted on a free private server. Come check it out and enjoy some nostalgia of one of the first ever MMORPG’s to come out.
The team behind this has also added quite a bit of new content and continues to!

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GamingSF

Of the games I know and can comment on WoW, Elder Scrolls, maybe SWTOR and LOTRO. Probably other games like BDO and Runescape that aren’t really on my radar will keep on trucking.

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rafael12104

20 years? Well… you guys have mentioned the probable: Everquest, WoW, Eve, Lineage.

But here is my vote on the newer games that I think will make it.

FFXIV. Square has invested much, and given it’s origin and what the game, devs, and fans alike overcame? I’d say it is a lock.

Another one, that is less likely according to some is Black Desert. It doesn’t matter now what happens in Korea, the game here in NA/EU is infused with new life. In the west, this game will endure, as long the devs don’t make any catastrophic decisions. Lol.

And last, I think it has been mentioned, GW2. I know GW1 lives, but I’m specifically talking about GW2. I think NCsoft looks at this game as their model for their MMOs here in the west. I don’t think they will pull back for a long time. They will just keep pushing it forward much like Lineage.

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Daniel Miller

FFVI, Starcraft, Linage

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Oleg Chebeneev

There are MUDs that are 10 years older then UO and still have healthy population. Like Gemstone4 which has 300-400 people online daily.

WoW will easily pass 20 years mark. I think it will still be very popular even in 2024. But it will be F2P by then.
I bet EVE Online will get there because its very unique and there is still not a single MMO like it. And there wont be in coming 6 years.
Both Lineage and Lineage 2 will live through 20 years.
Also Runescape.

Major MMOs that I think wont make it: LoTRO, RIFT, AoC, Fallen Earth, Defiance, Neverwinter, GW1, EQ2, SWToR and of course poor Wildstar.

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camelotcrusade

More interesting to me is what technology and platforms will look like 20 years from now and how they will influence the MMOs available. My platform of choice (big ole personal PC in a tower) has certainly declined in prevalence since I started MMOing.

Anyway this question got me wondering how platform fragmentation will continue to influence the MMO landscape, and 20 years is mind-boggling horizon to consider.

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Schlag Sweetleaf

.

Hello Kitty Online 2037.gif
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Oleg Chebeneev

haha, this is good one

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Utakata

The dials look a little analog though. o.O

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Bryan Correll

Analog and vacuum tubes will be ‘in’ with whatever hipsters are being called at the time.

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Schmidt.Capela

Funny thing, I actually used an analog computer in college. Pretty useful for simulating, and controlling, complex systems back when digital computers weren’t powerful enough. And yeah, that illustration does kinda look like an analog computer.

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Jack Pipsam

Dark Age of Camelot seems likely to making it the 20 year mark provided Broadsword can keep it profitable and at this stage I don’t think EA has any objections to the agreement.

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Arktouros

I mean if there’s no IP contract (IE: Warhammer) and you’re not run by a company looking to min-max returns (IE: City of Heroes) and once you’ve recouped most of your investment costs and are now just making a profit by keeping the servers on there’s very little reason most MMO games can’t make it to 10-20 years or more especially if they’re the only MMO a company runs (IE: LOTRO vs Asheron’s Call).

However most of the old, big MMOs are already past the 10 year mark and heading towards 20. With a general lack of innovation in the MMO industry, and much of the new MMOs catering towards PvP centric game play I don’t see any of the old PvE focused titles really losing any steam.

Personally I think that’s a far more interesting topic: what MMOs will be in development when WOW hits 20 in 7 years? I mean Star Citizen will of course still be in development but Crowfall and Camelot should be out by then. Are companies even going to bother trying to create new ones at that point to replace these games that have been out for 20 years?

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Sally Bowls

I mean Star Citizen will of course still be in development

Lol. That is cruel! As Alice said, “If you can’t say something nice about someone, sit next to me.”

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mistressbrazen

Until this year I would have said Anarchy Online. But now….who knows whether Funcom will keep the game in maintenance mode as they announced they would.