Elite Dangerous has an estimated 500K monthly active players according to stockbroker report

    
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Small steps.

It’s no secret that an expansion’s announcement is generally a driving force for bringing players into MMOs and multiplayer games, and that certainly appears to be the case for Elite: Dangerous, which is reportedly experiencing some strong monthly active player counts — an estimated 500K of them, to be exact.

The numbers come from a report by Liberium, the official stockbroker of Frontier Developments, and while the full report is locked behind a paywall, regular MOP reader StuartGT shared a synopsis on Reddit.

According to the summary, the estimated 500K players log in to the game on a regular basis and at least one time a month, and only count players that are categorized as active instead of those who got the game from the Epic Games Store for free. The first few lines of the report also state that the release of Odyssey seeks to attract 3.5M inactive players back to the game. On the subject of Odyssey sales, Liberium estimates that 1 million copies of the expansion will be bought within the first year on PC and consoles.

It’s important to note that the lede for this report does state that it looks at “the upside sensitivity to [these] numbers,” but for all intents and purposes it would seem like Odyssey’s pending arrival is raking in players to the game.

sources: Research Tree, Reddit, thanks to StuartGT for the tip!
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lolzzer

Have to give Frontier credit for continuing to advance this game and for honestly reporting player counts.

There’s no honest player counts from Frontier here. There’s just a huge “estimate” from the stockbroker Frontier has hired to talk up the company share price. And this broker doesn’t have a great record for honesty here. Just check out its valuation for Elite Dangerous – based on its own false accounting that puts the games Y1 earnings at around double what shows in the audited financials.

Fisty
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Fisty

Not surprising really. Odyssey’s release will get me into the game.

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J

Closer to a real Star Citizen than Star Citizen.

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Roger Melly

I was just thinking the very same thing . In fact given Star Citizen is almost certainly at least 5 years away from release its probably Elite Dangerous will have another expansion pack or two under its belt and possibly will offer a real alternative to CIG’s game . My impression of it is that its more of a solo game without any guilds etc which is the thing that puts me off most . Would be nice to be able to converse with people in it .

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PhoenixDfire

If you mean Elite:Dangerous; you can join a single player squadrons (which can be considered guilds of up to 500 other players) and there is also Squadron chat, system chat (a global chat for players in the same system), Instance Chat and Wing chat. Ever since the global system chat when it, the game feels a lot more populated, even though you can’t always see the other players in their ships.

To be honest, ED is at it’s best when you’re in a co-op wing and running missions, or fighting thargoids or (my favorite) driving off one of the huge Capital Ships that jump into combat zones from time to time. I’ll never forget the shock when one of those jumped in for the first time (awesome sound design).

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Ironwu

Have to give Frontier credit for continuing to advance this game and for honestly reporting player counts. Top marks!

Imagine the risk they were taking when releasing this game as it looked like they were going to be in direct competition with Star Citizen.

EmberStar
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EmberStar

Imagine their relief as it becomes clear that Elite: Dangerous can probably live out its entire “live service” life cycle before Star Citizen actually gets released… :P

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PhoenixDfire

I can’t believe that we’re almost up to the ten year lifespan they originally planned for. Admittedly, they’re nowhere near where the community expected us to be (There’s a little bit of NMS envy) but keeping the galaxy scientifically accurate does come at a price.

Still 500K accounts still playing after almost seven years, that’s not bad going. I wonder how that compares with other MMOs of a similar age?

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lolzzer

Still 500K accounts still playing after almost seven years

Crap. That 500K is wishful thinking based on the millions of copies given away free just a couple of months ago.

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PhoenixDfire

According to the stockholder statement (which has to be true under UK law); they don’t count any of the 8 million Epic Accounts in the figures. So that 500K is out of the original 4.5 million sales.

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lolzzer

According to the stockholder statement (which has to be true under UK law)

Crap. Read the disclaimer on that statement, which StuartGT conveniently left out.

This document is a marketing communication and has been prepared and distributed by Liberum Capital Limited. It is not independent research prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to a prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. Liberum does and seeks to do business with companies covered in this communication. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.

Perhaps you thought Frontier/Liberium are on the regulated London Stock Exchange, where yes effective laws do apply? They’re not. They’re on the so-called alternative market, which is unregulated and famous for crooked and cowboy companies who have fleeced investors out of £millions. There’s nothing stopping Frontier and Liberium telling huge porkie pies to sell the shares to investors and they have – on many occasions. You only have to read the Frontier financials and other filings.